Non-Rating Action commentary

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How Brazilian FIDC funds’ scenario has behaved between 2021 and 2022?

The beginning of 2021 was marked more by uncertainties derived from the COVID-19 pandemic than by risk. In addition, that period has been marked by economic growth slowdown, rising inflation and a historic low in interest rates in Brazil. Despite the beginning of the vaccination campaign in Brazil, the country’s economic outlook was pessimistic, as the pace of immunization was considered slow, possibly due to logistical difficulties, and the number of new cases was still high.

Despite such a scenario of uncertainty during the first five months of 2021, Brazilian Receivable Funds (Fundo de Investimento em Direitos Creditórios (FIDC)) were reasonably resilient to market volatility. Both the number of funds and equity grew compared with those in the same period in 2020. From March 2021 on, equity reached unprecedented levels, when net assets hit the historic mark of BRL 219 billion, and continued on an upward path throughout that year.

New developments in the beginning of 2022 have suggested a new context for the Brazilian economy. Both the perspective of controlling the pandemic and the emphasis given to controlling inflation, after a strong monetary stimulus during the height of the pandemic, attracted special attention, enhanced by an increase in interest rate by Brazil’s Central Bank.

Within a scenario of consecutive interest rate rises in the first months of 2022, the equity growth of FIDCs stands out, as their net assets practically doubled in size compared with the same period in 2021. FIDCs may, indeed, represent an investment opportunity in such a context, as their performance is often pegged to the Central Bank’s interest rate. Furthermore, they generally represent portfolios dispersed throughout a wide range of receivables, therefore, allowing credit risk diversification.

At the end of April, the consolidated equity in FIDCs totalled BRL 355 billion, among 1,621 funds operating in Brazil. That month, their performance hit its highest historical level. It is not just the absolute values of the indicators that draw attention, but the acceleration of growth, in nominal terms, as shown by the green arrows in the chart below.

Evolution of Brazilian Receivables Funds equity 2021-2022 (million, R$)

Source: Elaborated by the Bells & Bayes team, with data provided by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil (CVM).

At the end of May 2022, according to the most recent data available, 1,621 FIDCs were found in operation in Brazil (as shown below), which represent a consolidated equity of approximately BRL 330 billion.

Evolution of the number of Brazilian Receivables Funds 2021-2022

Source: Elaborated by the Bells & Bayes team, with data provided by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil (CVM)